SEMI sees 7.4% 2025 growth for manufacturing equipment

Sales of semiconductor manufacturing equipment will hit $125.5 billion in 2025, marking a 7.4% YoY increase, according to SEMI.

Growth is expected to continue into 2026, with sales projected to reach $138.1 billion, fueled by strong demand in leading-edge logic, memory, and next-generation technology transitions.

The Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) segment, which includes wafer processing, fab facilities, and mask/reticle equipment, is on track to rise 6.2% to $110.8 billion in 2025, surpassing earlier forecasts.


Growth will be led by rising investments in foundry and memory applications, with further expansion to $122.1 billion in 2026 driven by AI-related capacity buildouts and advanced process migrations.


The back-end segment is also continuing its recovery. Semiconductor test equipment sales are forecast to surge 23.2% in 2025, reaching $9.3 billion, after strong gains in 2024.

Assembly and packaging equipment is expected to grow 7.7% to $5.4 billion in 2025, with both segments extending their momentum into 2026. This expansion is propelled by rising device complexity and the performance demands of AI and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), although some weakness persists in the automotive, industrial, and consumer sectors.

Within WFE, foundry and logic applications are projected to grow 6.7% in 2025 to $64.8 billion, and another 6.6% in 2026, underpinned by demand for advanced nodes and ramp-ups in 2nm gate-all-around (GAA) production.

Memory-related investments are also bouncing back. NAND equipment is set to grow 42.5% in 2025 to $13.7 billion, following a modest rebound in 2024, and will reach $15.0 billion in 2026, supported by 3D NAND innovations. Meanwhile, DRAM equipment is forecast to grow 6.4% in 2025 and 12.1% in 2026, with strong demand for HBM used in AI.

Regionally, China, Taiwan, and Korea will remain top markets through 2026. China leads despite a pullback from its 2024 peak. While most regions are expected to boost spending, trade policy risks may temper overall growth.

 

David Manners

David Manners

David Manners has more than forty-years experience writing about the electronics industry, its major trends and leading players. As well as writing business, components and research news, he is the author of the site's most popular blog, Mannerisms. This features series of posts such as Fables, Markets, Shenanigans, and Memory Lanes, across a wide range of topics.

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